Corona Status Dec 2020

Lars Poulsen - 2020-12-16

The case numbers have risen dramatically, both in the US and locally. The statewide tightening is very necessary. You probably won't get vaccinated until late March, so be careful until then!

The National Summary

National Graph

New infections per day about 200,000 - which is 66.7 per 100,000 population.

Santa Barbara County

Here are local numbers condensed from the county's daily reports.

Week	New Cases	Infectious	In Hosp	Dead/Week	New/100K
12/15	207	1059	78	3	46.0
12/8	125	700	50	2	27.8
12/1	50	394	39	2	15.1
11/24	80	399	21	2	17.8
11/17	77	255	15	2	11.3
11/10	40	172	9	2	7.9
11/3	22	105	10	3	4.9
10/27	28	141	11	7	6.2

The columns are:

The day (Tuesday)
The number of new positive COVID-19 tests reported for the day (slightly ajusted to be representative in case of spikes up or down)
The number of still infectious cases (people tested positive and not yet cleared by a negative test)
The number of people with COVID-19 in our hospitals
The number of people who died from COVID-19 this week
The number of new infections per day per 100,000 population averaged over the last week.

That last column is what I use for comparisons between different places.

The Short Digest

As you can see, we have a rapid rise in COVID-19 here in Santa Barbara County. While the numbers are a bit higher in the North County (Santa Maria/Lompoc), the difference is smaller now than last month. (The above numbers are all county-wide.) We still have more than half our ICU beds open, but Ventura County has filled all theirs, so we will probably see them moving patients up here in the next week.

While we have more sick people, the number of deaths has not gone up. This will change very quickly, if we do not have ICU beds.

So be very careful. No parties, no driking outside of home, and wear a mask if you are within 6 feet of people who do not live with you.

Footnote

Full data December to date

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